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Royal Never Give Up will look to snap Suning’s five-game winning streak this Thursday when they meet during the seventh week of League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2020 Summer.
Even though Victory Five hold the unofficial title of most improved team in the league, Suning have turned many heads with their improvement this split. After finishing LPL Spring in 11th place with a 7-9 record, they have already matched that number of wins only 10 games into the second split of the season.
Suning enter this match with a 7-3 record and an equally impressive 15-10 map differential, which sets them up for not only a playoffs ticket but possibly even a quarter-final seeding. With matches against Victory Five, Top Esports, Oh My God, ViCi Gaming and FunPlus Phoenix in the remaining four weeks, Thursday’s bout is crucial for Xiang “Angel” Tao and co.
Overall, Suning have been performing well above expectations. Even though their +428 gold differential and +19.5 CS differential at 15 minutes are not exactly spectacular, it is always a good sign when you positive numbers in the early game in such a strong league.
Additionally, Suning don’t seem to have any obvious weaknesses. All five of their players are performing well with an average KDA of 3.94 between them. Even though top laner Chen “Bin” Ze-Bin has only a 2.8 KDA average, his deep pool of nine champions more than compensates for his relative lack of kills.
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Standing on the other side of the rift will be Royal Never Give Up, who are 5-4 this split. They have defeated Oh My God (2-0), ViCi Gaming (2-0), JD Gaming (2-1), eStar (2-1) and EDward Gaming (2-0) but lost to LNG Esports (0-2), Victory Five (0-2), Team WE (1-2) and FunPlus Phoenix (1-2).
That record is not too inspiring, especially when compared to their next opponents’ tally. However, with the exception of their fluke loss to LNG in Week 2, RNG’s defeats have come against some of the strongest teams in the league.
Like Suning, RNG hold respectable gold (+256) and CS (+14.1) differentials at 15 minutes. Another thing the two teams have in common is their lack of obvious weaknesses besides the top lane, where Tian “New” Zhi-Peng holds a 2.9 KDA but, like Bin for Suning, boasts a deep champion pool.
The biggest surprise at RNG is ADC Chen “GALA” Wei, who joined the team last month. In his four fixtures since, GALA has averaged an impressive 6.2 KDA, 81.1% KPAR and an outstanding 32.8% damage share with only 25.3% gold share.
Mid laner Li “Xiaohu” Yuan-Hao also deserves some praise as one of the most consistent players on the team. Throughout 18 games, the 22-year-old Chinese LoL pro is averaging a 4.7 KDA, 70.5 KPAR and 26.4% damage share.
Suning have shown more throughout this split, but we can’t agree with the surprisingly high odds on Royal Never Give Up. Even though RNG have looked a bit iffy at times, there is not a lot to separate these teams.
Both sides have solid vision and objective control, and also show a similar level of aggression. Suning might be more efficient in farming, but the difference is marginal and should not be taken as the main factor in this match.
Royal Never Give Up bring good form into this clash. They crushed EDward Gaming last weekend and before that put up a solid fight against FunPlus Phoenix, winning the first map with a +12.8k gold lead, +9 kill differential and +8 tower differential.
We have high expectations for RNG, who should at least steal one map from the high-flying Suning. Given the marginal difference between the outright price on the underdogs and the odds for the map line, the over 2.5 is the way to go.
Day four of the 2020 LPL Spring Split will feature an exciting bout between Rogue Warriors and Suning Gaming, who will meet on the Rift for the first time since July 2019.
RW and SN have met 11 times since Rogue’s inception in December 2017, but we can throw their head-to-head record right out of the window given both sides enter 2020 with completely new rosters.
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Rogue were not exactly fantastic last season, finishing the LPL Spring Split 15th with a 4-11 record and the Summer Split 13th with a 5-10 record. RW also finished ninth-16th at NEST 2019, where they were eliminated by Suning, and fifth-eighth at the 2019 Demacia Cup.
RW enter LPL 2020 as one of the weakest teams in the league, and we would not be surprised if they finished the season around 15th place. Their roster looks to be fairly average with the exception of Mei “ZWuJi” Hong-Hui, but even he does not stack up against star ADCs such as Lin “Lwx” Wei-Xiang, Lee “LokeN” Dong-wook, Jian “Uzi” Zi-Hao and others.
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We expect ZWuJi to continue playing the role of the main carry for RW, but the team overall fails to inspire much confidence. While they have the potential to finish mid-table, their performance against eStar on Tuesday left a lot to be desired.
Unlike RW, Suning have the tools to make the final eight this season.
Suning lost their star mid laner Huang “Maple” Yi-Tang during the off-season but managed to keep hold of Hu “SwordArt” Shuo-Chieh, which is a massive positive in our books. Rather signing a replacement for Maple, the team allowed Xiang “Angel” Tao to role-swap from the top lane back to mid lane. Former jungler Wei “Weiwei” Bo-Han has moved down to the bottom lane, where he will play as an ADC.
There was a lot of hype surrounding Suning last season, but they failed to live up to the expectations as they finished the Spring Split 10th and Summer Split seventh-eighth. Suning also clinched a fifth-eighth finish at NEST 2019, where they lost to the eventual champions SinoDragon Gaming (now Dominus Esports) in the quarter-finals.
The expectations on Suning are significantly lower this season, which should, in theory, help them play without the added stress, yet we believe they will have to severely overperform to break into the top eight.
Suning enter this bout as the stronger team and the betting odds at esports bookmakers show that. It’s not so much that SN are an exceptionally strong team, but rather that RW are a very weak team.
RW might have outperformed SN at the Demacia Cup, where they finished fifth-eight, but we would not say they deserve a standing ovation for beating the likes of Dominus, SDX Gaming and Invictus Gaming’s academy team.
Furthermore, RW severely underperformed against eStar in game one of the season and even their star ADC looked shaky on his feet. His job won’t be any easier this Thursday when he takes on SwordArt – one of the best supports in the league.
There are some uncertainties when predicting this match, considering we have not seen Suning play in the LPL yet, but they should have a fairly easy time defeating RW.
Prediction: Suning Gaming to win – $1.46 at GG Bet
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